Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy (ITEP)

Carl Davis

Research Director

Carl Davis
Areas of Expertise
tax modeling state taxes federal taxes cannabis taxes school voucher credits gas taxes dynamic scoring

Carl is the research director at ITEP, where he has worked since 2008. Carl works on a wide range of issues related to state, local, and federal tax policy. He has advised policymakers, researchers, and advocates on tax policy issues in nearly every state. Much of his work pertains to tax incidence analysis, which illuminates how tax policies vary in impact across income level and race. He has contributed to five editions of ITEP’s flagship Who Pays? report, which measures effective tax rates by income level in every state, and was the project lead on the most recent edition of the study.

Carl has been deeply involved in building out ITEP’s growing portfolio of work at the intersection of taxes and race. This included advising the organization’s economists and analysts in their successful effort to attach racial identifiers to ITEP’s tax microdata, as well as authoring reports demonstrating the positive, and negative, effects that tax policy has on racial disparities.

As research director, Carl is responsible for steering ITEP’s work to new or underexplored areas and has written about proposals to legalize and tax cannabis sales, to implement vehicle-miles-traveled taxes, and to update the tax treatment of the “gig economy.” He has also investigated the connection between state taxes and economic growth, options for improving transportation funding through gas tax reform, the pitfalls of expansive tax subsidies for seniors, and promoting housing affordability with property tax circuit breakers.

Carl has conducted extensive research into tax credits for people who contribute to organizations that give out vouchers for free or reduced tuition at private K-12 schools. That research helped reveal the profitable tax shelters that these credits create for some upper-income people and was heavily cited in the run-up to an IRS regulation that curtailed use of those shelters.

Prior to assuming the role of research director, Carl worked as an analyst for ITEP and used its proprietary microsimulation tax model to perform tax incidence and revenue analyses for lawmakers and advocates across the country. Carl also previously worked as part of the State Economic Issues team at AARP. He holds bachelor’s degrees in both economics and political science from Virginia Tech and a Master’s in Public Policy from George Washington University.

 carl at itep.org

Recent Publications

brief    

It’s Time for States to Jettison Nonsensical FDDEI Deductions

February 19, 2026 • By Carl Davis

States often link their tax laws to the federal code in significant ways. Many of these links are justified and can simplify tax administration for both taxpayers and state officials. But in other cases, something can get lost in translation, and states end up copying federal provisions that just don’t…

blog    

NCTI is an Important Part of the Federal Corporate Tax. States Should Adopt It Too.

February 12, 2026 • By Carl Davis

Including NCTI in state corporate tax law is an effective way to neutralize much of the tax avoidance that occurs when multinational companies artificially shift their profits into overseas tax havens.

More Publications by Carl Davis

Recent Media Mentions

media mention    

The Hill: Want ‘Affordability?’ Start by Retooling Your State’s Regressive Tax System.

February 19, 2026 • By Carl Davis

The White House plan “would represent the single largest legislated transfer of wealth from the working class to the rich in the nation’s history,” according to the Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy. “Working-class families would face dramatic tax increases while the nation’s wealthiest families would see their state tax…

media mention    

Education Week: How Do Schools Solve a Problem Like Property Taxes?

February 19, 2026 • By Carl Davis

As tax season dawns, backlash to a nationwide surge in property-tax bills is spurring states to double down on proposals to diminish one of the main revenue sources for school districts. At least 10 states are pitching the end of one of schools’ chief revenue sources. Read more.

More Media Mentions of Carl Davis