The poorest fifth of Americans would receive 1 percent of the House reconciliation bill’s net tax cuts in 2026 while the richest fifth of Americans would receive two-thirds of the tax cuts. The richest 5 percent alone would receive a little less than half of the net tax cuts that year.
Federal Policy
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report May 22, 2025 Analysis of Tax Provisions in the House Reconciliation Bill: National and State Level Estimates
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blog May 16, 2025 The House Tax Plan, By the Numbers
The House of Representatives unveiled a sprawling piece of tax legislation earlier this week that would extend temporary tax changes enacted in 2017 and layer various kinds of tax cuts and increases on top. The JCT analysis makes clear that the House tax plan would be regressive, meaning it would offer larger tax cuts as a share of income to high-income taxpayers than to either middle-class or working-class families. It also makes clear that most of the tax cuts would go to families with above-average incomes.
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blog May 5, 2025 America Has Left the Building: U.S. Loses from Our Global Tax Policy Choices, Others Could Gain
Countries that once looked to the U.S. for direction on tax policy have concluded they need to form alliances without us. If so, it will often be to the benefit of other people around the globe and to the deficit of U.S. communities.
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brief April 9, 2025 Sharp Turn in Federal Policy Brings Significant Risks for State Tax Revenues
Summary The new presidential administration and Congress have indicated that they intend to bring about a dramatic federal retreat in funding for health care, food assistance, education, and other services… -
report March 26, 2025 Federal Tax Policy: What Should It Accomplish?
The U.S. needs a tax code that is more adequate, meaning any major tax legislation should increase revenue, not reduce it. The U.S. also needs a tax code that is more progressive, meaning any significant tax legislation should require more, not less, from those most able to pay.
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blog October 23, 2024 How Would the Harris and Trump Tax Plans Affect Different Income Groups?
Presidential candidates Kamala Harris and Donald Trump have put forward a wide range of different tax proposals during this year’s campaign. We have now fully analyzed the distributional impacts of the major proposals of both Vice President Harris and former President Trump in separate analyses. In all, the tax proposals announced by Harris would, on average, lead to a tax cut for all income groups except the richest 1 percent of Americans, while the proposals announced by Trump would, on average, lead to a tax increase for all income groups except the richest 5 percent of Americans.