Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy (ITEP)

OBBBA

ITEP analysis of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, also known as OBBBA, OBBA or the Trump tax law. This archive collects research, commentary and data on how the 2025 federal tax and spending law affects working families, low-income households, wealthy taxpayers, corporations, state revenues, Medicaid, SNAP, the Child Tax Credit, the SALT deduction, clean energy tax credits and the federal budget.

Follow ITEP’s latest analysis of who benefits from OBBBA, who pays, and how the law reshapes the tax code. Articles in this archive examine the law’s distributional impact, its effects on inequality and public services, and the choices facing state lawmakers as federal tax changes flow through state tax systems.

Biden Tax Reforms Take a $16 Billion Bite Out of Trump’s Big Tax Giveaway to Meta

Meta’s earnings setback is entirely attributable to an important tax reform championed by the Biden administration in 2022.

Why States Shouldn’t Go Along With OBBBA’s Corporate Tax Breaks: A Practical Guide

States should immediately decouple from four costly corporate tax provisions in the new federal tax law.

Well, That Was Fast: Trump Tax Law’s New Corporate Breaks are Already Worsening the Deficit

Corporate income taxes for the fiscal year that ended in September are $77 billion lower than in the previous year, a 15 percent drop.

blog  

Some Members of Congress Will Cash in from New Tax Law

October 9, 2025 • By ITEP Staff

Some Members of Congress Will Cash in from New Tax Law

Many lawmakers who were vocal supporters of this bill will see direct personal benefits while most of their constituents benefit little or will be worse off.

blog  

Trump Tax Law Erases Economic, Racial Progress in the Tax Code

October 6, 2025 • By Brakeyshia Samms

Trump Tax Law Erases Economic, Racial Progress in the Tax Code

President Trump’s massive tax-and-spending bill continues the administration’s assault on racial and economic justice by prioritizing tax breaks for the top 1% while neglecting the economic well-being of poor and working families of all races, especially people of color.

Quite Some BS: Expanded ‘QSBS’ Giveaway in Trump Tax Law Threatens State Revenues and Enriches the Wealthy

States should decouple from the federal Qualified Small Business Stock (QSBS) exemption.

Leaving Billions on the Table: Trump-Induced Brain Drain Leaves the IRS Struggling to Prevent Corporate Tax Avoidance

The IRS's capacity to prevent big multinational corporations from avoiding income taxes is facing a generational crisis.

Who Can Make a Billion Dollar Mistake and Not Lose Their Jobs? Congress

A drafting error in the 2017 tax law will cost U.S. taxpayers over $1 billion in unintended tax cuts for big multinationals.

The Trump Megabill Hands the Rich a Gift — and Sends the Bill to Young Americans

Trump's megabill directs most benefits to the wealthy, while leaving younger generations with higher taxes, more debt, and fewer opportunities. For Millennials and Gen Z, it means reduced public investment and an economy less likely to work in their favor.

report  

How Will the Trump Megabill Change Americans’ Taxes in 2026?

July 22, 2025 • By Steve Wamhoff, Michael Ettlinger, Carl Davis, Jon Whiten

How Will the Trump Megabill Change Americans’ Taxes in 2026?

The megabill will raise taxes on the poorest 40 percent of Americans, barely cut them for the middle 20 percent, and cut them tremendously for the wealthiest Americans next year.

June Budget Report Doesn’t Erase Our Nation’s Fiscal Challenges

Nobody should be too excited and think this means our country is headed toward lower deficits - especially when the administration recently signed one of the most expensive budget reconciliation bills in history.

GOP Megabill Breaks America’s Promise to Future Generations

This country’s biggest historical challenge has been delivering this progress to all Americans, but Republicans have cut it back for everyone, retreating from many 20th century achievements in ways that will slam doors, rather than opening them, for the next generation.

10 Crazy Comparisons Showing How Much Trump and Congress Just Cut Taxes for the Rich

$117 billion is a big number, so we thought it could use a little context.

report  

There Were Far Cheaper and Fairer Options Than the Trump Megabill

July 8, 2025 • By Steve Wamhoff, Joe Hughes, Jessica Vela

There Were Far Cheaper and Fairer Options Than the Trump Megabill

Congress and the president could have spent less than half that much money on a tax bill that does more for working-class and middle-class households.

report  

Analysis of Tax Provisions in the Trump Megabill as Signed into Law: National and State Level Estimates

July 7, 2025 • By Steve Wamhoff, Carl Davis, Joe Hughes, Jessica Vela

Analysis of Tax Provisions in the Trump Megabill as Signed into Law: National and State Level Estimates

President Trump has signed into law the tax and spending “megabill” that largely favors the richest taxpayers and provides working-class Americans with relatively small tax cuts that will in many cases be more than offset by Trump's tariffs.

Top 1% to Receive $1 Trillion Tax Cut from Trump Megabill Over the Next Decade

The Trump megabill will give the top 1 percent tax cuts totaling $1.02 trillion over the next decade. For comparison, the bill’s cuts to the Medicaid health care program will total $930 billion over the same period.

Megabill Takes Cap Off Unprecedented Private School Voucher Tax Credit, Potentially Raising Cost by Tens of Billions Relative to Earlier Version

It is clear that this tax credit has the potential to come with an enormous cost if private school groups are successful in convincing their supporters to participate. In these times of very high debt and deficits, this is reason for all of us to be uneasy.

blog  

Local Tax Trends in 2025

July 1, 2025 • By Rita Jefferson

Local Tax Trends in 2025

As federal aid ends and economic uncertainty grows, local governments face tough budget choices. Now is the time for localities to protect vulnerable residents and build stronger, more equitable fiscal foundations.

Trump Megabill Will Give $117 Billion in Tax Cuts to the Top 1% in 2026. How Much In Your State?

The predominant feature of the tax and spending bill working its way through Congress is a massive tax cut for the richest 1 percent — a $114 billion benefit to the wealthiest people in the country in 2026 alone.

How Much Do the Top 1% in Each State Get from the Trump Megabill?

The Senate tax bill under debate right now would bring very large tax cuts to very high-income people. In total, the richest 1 percent would receive $114 billion in tax cuts next year alone. That would amount to nearly $61,000 for each of these affluent households.

report  

Analysis of Tax Provisions in the Senate Reconciliation Bill: National and State Level Estimates

June 25, 2025 • By Carl Davis, Jessica Vela, Joe Hughes, Steve Wamhoff

Analysis of Tax Provisions in the Senate Reconciliation Bill: National and State Level Estimates

Compared to its House counterpart, the Senate bill makes certain tax provisions more generous, including corporate tax breaks that it makes permanent rather than temporary. But the bottom line for both is the same. Both bills give more tax cuts to the richest 1 percent than to the entire bottom 60 percent of Americans, and both bills particularly favor high-income people living in more conservative states.

Senate Republicans Rig the Rules to Make Their Tax Bill Look Responsible. It’s Not.

No matter how much Senate leadership bends the rules to make their tax cuts look better on paper, the cost and impact on the deficit remains the same under a current policy baseline. It’s a move meant to mask the true cost and push a reckless bill through.

CNBC: How Senate GOP ‘No Tax on Tips’ Proposal Differs From House Republican Plan

June 18, 2025

However, the Senate proposal is different from the House version in two key ways, Matt Gardner, senior fellow at the Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy, wrote in an e-mail. Read more.

Trump Megabill’s Deduction for Car Loan Interest Would Not Offset Tariff-Related Auto Price Increases for Most Buyers

The auto loan interest deduction that recently passed the House is designed, at least in part, to mitigate the impact of tariff-induced price increases on vehicles assembled in America. But the deduction is incapable of offsetting even small-scale price increases, especially for working-class families and others with moderate incomes.

blog  

Musk-Trump Feud Shows Need to Tax the Rich

June 6, 2025 • By Amy Hanauer

Musk-Trump Feud Shows Need to Tax the Rich

Our tax policies enable people like Elon Musk and Donald Trump to accumulate more wealth than anyone could ever use in a lifetime. They then use it to steer elections and shape public policy to further enrich themselves and others like them. We should defeat the enormously destructive tax bill in Congress and instead craft tax policy that taxes the rich, makes our democracy more fair, and returns resources to the rest of the country.