Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy (ITEP)

NerdWallet: What to Know About Harris and Trump’s Tariff Campaign Promises

November 5, 2024

It’s election week, and Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are making their last-ditch efforts to recruit voters. At the top of many Americans’ minds, of course, is the economy.

The Independent: Elon Musk Wants to Gut the Federal Government Under Trump. What Could That Look Like?

November 5, 2024

The wealthiest man on the planet is pumping tens of millions of dollars into Donald Trump’s campaign. He owns an influential social media company where he embraces right-wing influencers and conspiracy theories now dominating the platform. He has business interests with China and Russia’s Vladimir Putin’s regime while his companies receive billions of dollars in US government contracts.

New York Times: Trump’s Closing Argument: Lies, Distortions and Inaccuracies

November 4, 2024

Former President Donald J. Trump, in the closing days of the 2024 election, continues to be a font of exaggerations, misleading claims and outright lies.

Economic Security Project: The Equity & Prosperity Agenda: A Tax Plan to Promote a Fair, Inclusive, and Competitive Economy

October 31, 2024

The expiration of the Trump Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) in 2025 is a critical opportunity to set economic policy for the next decade. The TCJA has been an abject failure for American families. Every year since it passed in 2017, it has diverted taxpayer money to exorbitant tax breaks for the ultrawealthy and powerful corporations while everyday Americans have struggled to make ends meet. The 2025 tax fight is our opportunity to promote competition and curb corporate concentration, lower costs for working families, raise the revenue we need to invest in core priorities and promote a democratized, multiracial economy.

Business Insider: What a Trump or Harris Presidency Would Mean for Your Tax Bill

October 31, 2024

In the fourth installment of BI's five-part series in the final stretch before the election, Business Insider is looking at the ways each candidate's policies could affect how much you pay in taxes. (Read part one about investments, part two about costs, and part three about housing.)

New York Times: Trump Flirts With the Ultimate Tax Cut: No Income Taxes at All

October 24, 2024

Former President Donald J. Trump has spent much of the presidential campaign brainstorming new, and sometimes untested, ways to cut taxes. In the election’s final stretch, he raised the possibility of going even further: eliminating income taxes entirely.

How Would the Harris and Trump Tax Plans Affect Different Income Groups?

Presidential candidates Kamala Harris and Donald Trump have put forward a wide range of different tax proposals during this year’s campaign. We have now fully analyzed the distributional impacts of the major proposals of both Vice President Harris and former President Trump in separate analyses. In all, the tax proposals announced by Harris would, on average, lead to a tax cut for all income groups except the richest 1 percent of Americans, while the proposals announced by Trump would, on average, lead to a tax increase for all income groups except the richest 5 percent of Americans.  

American Immigration Council: Mass Deportation: Devastating Costs to America, Its Budget and Economy

October 18, 2024

In recent months, leading politicians and policymakers have renewed calls for mass deportations of immigrants from the United States. While similar promises have been made in the past without coming to fruition—during the 2016 presidential campaign, for example, Donald Trump pledged to create a “deportation force” to round up undocumented immigrants —mass deportation now occupies a standing role in the rhetoric of leading immigration hawks. To cite just one example, former U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) director Tom Homan has promised “a historic deportation operation” should a hawkish administration return to power. While some plans have envisioned a one-time,…

New York Times: How Trump’s Radical Tariff Plan Could Wreck Our Economy

October 18, 2024

As a result, tariffs would raise the cost of living more for middle- and lower-income families than the average. An estimate by the Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy, which assumes a 20 percent tariff, finds that it would reduce the real income of families in the bottom fifth of earners by 5.7 percent, of middle-income families by 4.6 percent, but of the top 1 percent by only 1.4 percent. An analysis by the Peterson Institute for International Economics arrives at similar numbers. In other words, Trump’s 2.0 tariffs would in effect be a strongly regressive tax increase, imposing a…

CBS News: Trump’s Plan to Deport Millions of Immigrants Would Cost Hundreds of Billions, CBS News Analysis Shows

October 18, 2024

Immigration researchers, lawyers, and economists have pointed to immense constitutional, humanitarian and economic problems posed by Trump's oft-repeated pledge. But beyond the anticipated damage to immigrant families, communities and local economies, the roundup and deportation of some 11 million people is near impossible to bankroll, according to an analysis of U.S. budget and immigration court data by CBS News.

Variety: From Tariffs to Taxes to Tyranny, Hollywood Braces for the Possibility of a Donald Trump Victory

October 18, 2024

Abbasi’s experience says a lot about the anxiety gripping the entertainment world as it watches a tumultuous, enormously consequential election unfold. From corporate suites to studio lots, Hollywood is bracing for a possible Trump return, one that could bring chaos and deepen political divisions in a polarized country.

2024 Local Tax Ballot Measures: Voters in Dozens of Communities Will Shape Local Policy

Next month, voters across the country will weigh in on many local ballot measures that will have a profound effect on the adequacy of our local tax systems and whether cities and communities can fund public needs. These are in addition to statewide ballot questions, many of which have local implications this year.  

2024 State Tax Ballot Questions: Voters to Weigh in on Tax Changes Big and Small

As we approach November’s election, voters in several states will be weighing in on tax policy changes. The outcomes will impact the equity of state and local tax systems and the adequacy of the revenue those systems are able to raise to fund public services.

Audio: ITEP’s Amy Hanauer Talks Presidential Tax Plans on NerdWallet Podcast

October 17, 2024

Paycheck Politics: What Presidential Tax Plans May Mean for Your Wallet. Listen here.

Washington Center for Equitable Growth: The Promise of Equitable and Pro-Growth Tax Reform

October 16, 2024

The impending expiration of large portions of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act at the end of 2025 presents federal policymakers with a significant opportunity to reform the federal tax code in the United States. Too often, political openings for pro-growth tax reform have instead been transformed into opportunities to introduce new tax cuts for those at the top of the income and wealth distribution. Proponents of these tax cuts usually defend their actions by invoking a now-widely discredited “trickle-down” theory of economic growth.

Washington Post: “Off the Charts”: How Trump Tariffs Would Shock U.S., World Economies

October 16, 2024

Former president Donald Trump is campaigning on the most significant increase in tariffs in close to a century, preparing an attack on the international trade order that would likely raise prices, hurt the stock market and spark economic feuds with much of the world.

New York Times: Trump and Harris Both Like a Child Tax Credit, but With Different Aims

October 16, 2024

Vice President Kamala Harris has made an expanded child tax credit central to her campaign, and former President Donald J. Trump boasts, “I doubled the child tax credit.” With a quick look, voters might think the child-rearing subsidy the rare matter on which the rival candidates agree.

Los Angeles Times: Here Are 4 Campaign Promises from Trump. What Are Their Chances if He Wins?

October 16, 2024

The economic impacts would be huge. In California, an estimated 1.5 million workers — 7% of the state’s labor force — are undocumented, according to the Pew Research Center. The Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy, a left-leaning think tank, found that undocumented workers paid $96.7 billion in taxes in 2022, including $8.5 billion in California.

Mother Jones: Trump’s Reverse Robin Hood Tax Cuts of 2017

October 16, 2024

On October 7, the nonpartisan Institute for Taxation and Economic Policy released an analysis of whom Trump’s tax proposals would benefit. It’s probably not you.

Grist: Trump’s Proposed Mass Deportations Could “Decimate” the US Food Supply

October 15, 2024

As Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump campaigns for a second term in the White House, the former president has repeatedly promised to enact the largest deportation of undocumented immigrants in U.S. history. It’s a bold threat that legal experts say should be taken seriously, despite the significant technical and logistical challenges posed by deporting 11 million people from the U.S. 

Business Insider: The Top 5% Will Benefit from Trump’s Tax Plans While the Rest of America Pays More, a New Analysis Says

October 11, 2024

According to a new analysis from the Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy — a left-leaning think tank — Trump's tax and tariff proposals could spur an average tax cut of about $36,300 for the richest 1% of Americans, or those with incomes of $914,900 and above. Beyond that, ITEP expects the next-richest 4% to receive an average tax cut of about $7,200.

Pittsburgh Post-Gazette: Pennsylvanians Favor Citizenship, Not Deportation, for Unauthorized Immigrants in New Survey

October 11, 2024

But even as most polls show Trump is preferred over Vice President Kamala Harris on immigration, his policy prescription is not the one that Pennsylvanians prefer, according to survey results released Thursday.

North Carolina Budget & Tax Center: North Carolinians Deserve the Credit

October 11, 2024

Despite strong state performance in job growth and employment, too many households in North Carolina are struggling to make ends meet and cope with the rising cost of living — especially those with young children. Widespread low incomes and elevated poverty rates are preventing families from meeting their needs, reaching their potential, and contributing their full talents to our communities. The prevalence of this financial hardship has direct consequences for the long-term well-being of children and our state’s economy.

Salon: Expert: Analysis shows Trump tax plan “taking money” from bottom 95% and “giving it” to richest 5%

October 9, 2024

Former President Donald Trump's proposed tax plan would create tax cuts for the nation's top 5% of earners while leaving the rest of Americans to shoulder tax increases by 2026, according to a new analysis.

Sen. Warren: Warren, Dean Press CocaCola, PepsiCo, and General Mills on “Shrinkflation” Price Gouging and Tax Dodging

October 9, 2024

U.S. Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) and Representative Madeleine Dean (D-Pa.) wrote to the CEOs of Coca-Cola, PepsiCo, and General Mills, pressing their executives on the companies’ pattern of profiteering off consumers, both through “shrinkflation” and dodging taxes on the profits they made from that price gouging.